The 'Future for Children Bond' - nice idea, but a risky investment

The new social investment bond from Essex County Council is a novel take on charitable investing. But beware, says Merryn Somerset Webb, this investment is anything but safe.

Do you want to put your money to work for good, but also be sure that you don't lose any money either? And somehow give without actually giving? Then I've got a deal for you. This week saw the launch of yet another social investment proposition the Future for Children Bond. This comes from charitable investment organisation Allia, and it works like this.

You hand over your cash (minimum subscription £15,000) for eight years. The money is then divided and invested in two separate things. The majority of the capital (78%) will go into a "low-risk ethical investment in social housing". The remainder (20%) into a "high-risk social impact bond" (SIB). That means it will be used to support a programme in Essex that intervenes in "at risk" families and supports them at home with a view to keeping their children out of care.

The social housing investment will provide a set rate of interest that, compounded, will add up to 100% of the original nominal capital over the eight years. So you should get that bit back. Real returns are another matter.

Subscribe to MoneyWeek

Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE

Get 6 issues free
https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/flexiimages/mw70aro6gl1676370748.jpg

Sign up to Money Morning

Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter

Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter

Sign up

The idea is that Essex County Council pays out a return based on "the reduction in days spent in care by these children, as well as improved school outcomes, wellbeing and reduced reoffending", although as far as I can see, the drop in days spent in care is the key variable.

This all sounds nice. But the point we need to make is that, as an investment, it doesn't really meet any of the criteria we normally look for. You have to lock you money up for a long, long time with no knowledge of what your return might be. There is clearly a strong chance you will get back only your original capital (and that's assuming nothing goes wrong with the "low-risk" bit).

That's not a good thing, for the simple reason that even if inflation stays lowish at 3%, £100 will be worth only £78 in terms of purchasing power. You just lost £22 (not including costs). Nor is it particularly transparent (the "how returns are determined" section of the offer document left me none the wiser).

It isn't cheap either. You'll have been wondering what happened to the last 2% of your capital. That's Allia's take. You might still want to invest and perhaps, as Anthony Hilton, writing in the Evening Standard, does, you will take heart from a recent poll by JP Morgan that found that the "vast majority" of such social projects were "meeting or surpassing their social, environmental and financial targets".

But don't invest in this thinking that you aren't taking vast and vague risks. You are, and as a result you might just find that as is usually the case it isn't possible to give without actually giving something away.

Merryn Somerset Webb

Merryn Somerset Webb started her career in Tokyo at public broadcaster NHK before becoming a Japanese equity broker at what was then Warburgs. She went on to work at SBC and UBS without moving from her desk in Kamiyacho (it was the age of mergers).

After five years in Japan she returned to work in the UK at Paribas. This soon became BNP Paribas. Again, no desk move was required. On leaving the City, Merryn helped The Week magazine with its City pages before becoming the launch editor of MoneyWeek in 2000 and taking on columns first in the Sunday Times and then in 2009 in the Financial Times

Twenty years on, MoneyWeek is the best-selling financial magazine in the UK. Merryn was its Editor in Chief until 2022. She is now a senior columnist at Bloomberg and host of the Merryn Talks Money podcast -  but still writes for Moneyweek monthly. 

Merryn is also is a non executive director of two investment trusts – BlackRock Throgmorton, and the Murray Income Investment Trust.