Merger frenzy in the pharmaceuticals business
The record deal between Bristol-Myers Squibb and Celgene moved closer this week. The pharmaceuticals sector is rapidly consolidating. Matthew Partridge reports.
The record deal between Bristol-Myers Squibb and Celgene moved closer this week. The pharmaceuticals sector is rapidly consolidating. Matthew Partridge reports
Bristol-Myers Squibb has "moved a step closer" to completing the largest takeover deal in the healthcare industry, says James Dean in The Times. Celgene, its target, has agreed to sell its blockbuster psoriasis treatment, Otezla, to Amgen for $13.4bn. Celgene first put Otezla up for sale two months ago to placate US competition regulators who were concerned that its combination with Bristol-Myers Squibb "could give the new company too much power in the market for anti-inflammatory drugs". Amgen says Otezla will cost it closer to $11.2bn owing to tax benefits.
Bristol-Myers will benefit in several ways from the deal, says Richard Beales on Breakingviews. Not only will the sale "smooth" any potential antitrust problems, but the money raised will reduce leverage at the larger company and allow it to "ratchet up its share repurchases" at the same time. Moreover, Giovanni Caforio, chairman and chief executive of Bristol-Myers, "can now breathe a sigh of relief", with his "ambitious dealmaking" having passed itsfirst test.
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An overpriced pill?
However, this deal "may have bucked that trend" as Otezla has cost Amgen substantially more than expected. Indeed, one analyst from brokerage Jefferies said that $8bn "would be the benchmark for a cheap price", while another "put a $10bn high-end price on the drug".
It's true that Amgen is paying a lot, especially given the fact that Celgene is a "motivated seller", says Charley Grant in The Wall Street Journal. Still, even though Amgen has offered an "attractive amount" for the drug, its shareholders shouldn't feel too hard done by, since the evidence suggests that the biotech firm "isn't necessarily overpaying". The drug "carries relatively little risk" as Otezla is approved to treat three separate indications, and its key patents don't expire until 2028. Amgen expects "at least double-digit average sales growth over the next five years".
This transaction "is the latest in an industry that has seen a staggering amount of dealmaking this year", says the Financial Times. Indeed, "more than $700bn-worth of transactions" have been agreed in the drug and healthcare sectors this year so far.
This "frenzy" has been driven by "the desire to sell non-core assets or buy innovative medicines as [pharma firms'] own drugs are close to losing patent protection". Companies are also concentrating on becoming "one of the top three players" in their category.
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Matthew graduated from the University of Durham in 2004; he then gained an MSc, followed by a PhD at the London School of Economics.
He has previously written for a wide range of publications, including the Guardian and the Economist, and also helped to run a newsletter on terrorism. He has spent time at Lehman Brothers, Citigroup and the consultancy Lombard Street Research.
Matthew is the author of Superinvestors: Lessons from the greatest investors in history, published by Harriman House, which has been translated into several languages. His second book, Investing Explained: The Accessible Guide to Building an Investment Portfolio, is published by Kogan Page.
As senior writer, he writes the shares and politics & economics pages, as well as weekly Blowing It and Great Frauds in History columns He also writes a fortnightly reviews page and trading tips, as well as regular cover stories and multi-page investment focus features.
Follow Matthew on Twitter: @DrMatthewPartri
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