Advertisement
Editor's letter

A symptom of our quantitative-easing-addled world

That Saudi Arabian oil giant Saudi Aramco was able to borrow so cheaply on the markets is odd, says John Stepek.

942-rig-634
Saudi Aramco: the crown jewel of the kingdom

Saudi Aramco, the giant oil company owned by the Saudi Arabian government, is the most profitable company in the world (that's what happens when you produce 10% of the world's oil and you're able to pump it for less than $3 a barrel). It has a pristine balance sheet. It's the kingdom's corporate crown jewel.

Advertisement - Article continues below

However, the Saudis, under Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, have decided, correctly, that their economy is too dependent on oil, particularly in an era where the US has become a major energy rival. Bin Salman, under his "2030 vision" plan, wants to invest in building more sustainable, diverse income streams. But that takes a lot of money. And so, about three years ago, the decision was made to sell a small chunk of Saudi Aramco on the stockmarket.

Bankers licked their lips and rubbed their hands amid talk of a $2trn valuation. But almost immediately, it ran into problems. For a start, the Saudis only wanted to flog off 5% of the company, which clearly raises corporate governance concerns, even before one considers who the co-owners are. Secondly, that $2trn valuation seen as non-negotiable by the Saudis, keen to raise $100bn in funding was viewed as outrageously punchy by pretty much every potential investor.

Advertisement - Article continues below
Advertisement
Advertisement - Article continues below

So instead, the Saudis came up with a different wheeze. Saudi Aramco paid nearly $70bn to buy a 70% stake in Sabic, a petrochemical group that is owned by a Saudi sovereign wealth fund. This money will be used to fund the reform plan.

To fund the deal, Saudi Aramco decided to borrow money in the capital markets. Yield-starved investors saw a clean balance sheet plus loads of cash generation, and apparently decided it was a good bet. Saudi Aramco went looking for $10bn and drew more than $100bn in bids, enabling it to borrow $12bn instead. In short, the Saudi state got its cash, without having to flog the family silver.

Some of you might well wonder at the audacity of the investment banks who helped Saudi Aramco to raise this money, having shunned the Saudis very publicly after the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi in October last year. And I did note this week in Money Morning (our free daily email if you don't already get it, sign up for it) that it's ironic that at a time when financial services firms keep trying to sell us on the merits of environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing, the world's biggest oil company, owned by one of the world's most oppressive regimes, has managed to issue one of the most successful bond deals ever.

However, it's not just the ethics of such a deal, but also the price that boggles the mind. Demand for Saudi Aramco debt was so high that it managed to borrow at an even lower rate than the Saudi government, which is odd, given how closely linked the two are. It's another interesting side-effect of our quantitative-easing-addled world that a company whose finances depend on continued increases in the oil price which is inflationary, certainly in the short run should also be able to borrow at such a low cost in "real" (after-inflation) terms.

The Sceptical Investor, John's book on contrarian investing, is out now MoneyWeek readers can get 25% off.

Advertisement
Advertisement

Recommended

Visit/glossary/bonds
Glossary

Bonds

A bond is a type of IOU issued by a government, local authority or company to raise money.
19 May 2020
Visit/520272/iran-and-us-oil-price
Global Economy

What escalating tension between Iran and the US means for oil prices

The tension between the US and Iran is unlikely to mean all-out war in the Middle East. But markets may be getting a little too complacent about its e…
6 Jan 2020
Visit/519785/rising-output-will-keep-a-lid-on-the-oil-price
Oil

Rising output will keep a lid on the oil price

Oil exporters’ cartel Opec gave further encouragement to the bulls this month after agreeing to new production curbs.
20 Dec 2019
Visit/519858/how-long-can-the-good-times-roll
Economy

How long can the good times roll?

Despite all the doom and gloom that has dominated our headlines for most of 2019, Britain and most of the rest of the developing world is currently en…
19 Dec 2019

Most Popular

Visit/economy/global-economy/601420/james-ferguson-the-virus-the-lockdown-and-what-comes-next
Global Economy

The MoneyWeek Podcast: James Ferguson on the virus, the lockdown, and what comes next

Merryn talks to MoneyWeek regular James Ferguson of Macrostrategy Partnership about what's happened so far with the virus; whether the lockdown was th…
28 May 2020
Visit/investments/stockmarkets/601423/as-full-lockdown-ends-what-are-the-risks-for-investors
Stockmarkets

As full lockdown ends, what are the risks for investors?

In the UK and elsewhere, people are gradually being let off the leash as the lockdown begins to end. John Stepek looks at what risks remain for invest…
29 May 2020
Visit/investments/property/601411/can-the-uk-housing-market-escape-a-slump
Property

Can the UK housing market escape a slump?

The Bank of England is predicting a 16% slump in house prices.
29 May 2020