BIS: another crisis looms

The Swiss-based Bank for International Settlements (BIS), an association of central banks, is concerned that the economic recovery could end “with a vengeance”.

In June 2007, two Bear Stearns hedge funds collapsed. That marked the start of the financial crisis. The Swiss-based Bank for International Settlements (BIS), an association of central banks, was among the few institutions to highlight the risk of a meltdown before it happened.

Now it's concerned that this recovery could end "with a vengeance". Several emerging markets are flashing red, with credit growth racing far ahead of economic growth, indicating a build-up of debt and vulnerability to a financial crisis. In Hong Kong, for example, the gap between debt growth and long-term economic growth is 30.3; in China it has reached 24.6. BIS considers anything above 10 to be a critical warning.

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