On Monday this week, I talked you through three questions to ask an active fund manager before you consider buying into their fund.
Now, most of the time, you're not likely to get a chance to directly interrogate every fund manager on your watch list. The point of the piece was more to give you a bit of a framework for thinking about how to choose a fund, than to actually ask those questions direct to the fund manager.
The thing is, we've actually got an active fund manager working in the office on a regular basis.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
It's Charlie Morris of The Fleet Street Letter.
So I thought I'd put my three questions to him and see what he came up with
Three tough questions to put to your money manager
In The Fleet Street Letter, he runs two investment portfolios 'Whisky' and 'Soda'. As you might just have guessed, Whisky is the higher-risk one, and Soda the more moderate one.
So I thought who better to put on the spot? Here's what he said.
John: Charlie, what's your strategy? Why should I invest with you rather than go passive?
Charlie: Passive has had one hell of a ride. I recall the years 2000, 2001 and 2002. They saw three consecutive years for losses for the major stockmarkets, and passive funds, of course, just rode them down. So by 2003, investors were truly fed up with the index and the active manager became king.
During the dotcom bear market, active investors who sought value and made sensible decisions, didn't lose money, at a time when the FTSE 100 halved. That led to the boom in absolute return funds a movement that I was fortunate enough to be part of.
During the next crisis in 2008, passive funds halved along with the index. But history didn't repeat itself instead, they rebounded rapidly the following year. The pain was short and sharp. As a result, passive investors had an incredible experience, because stimulus kicked in, which inflated asset prices. Active managers, who were thinking about the risks too much, got left behind.
Today, interest in passive is at a point where I would consider it to be dangerous. The intelligentsia have fallen in love with it. The conversation has moved from skill to costs. Don't get me wrong much of this is commendable. But it has gone too far.
In the world we face, where broad asset price appreciation seems extremely unlikely, a carefully considered value approach is essential. The index doesn't offer that. Active managers do.
John: So how much conviction do you have in your strategy? How many holdings do you have?
Charlie: Fleet Street is split into two portfolios. 'Soda' is the long-term, low-medium risk portfolio that has low turnover and low volatility. There are nine holdings comprising investment trusts, funds, and a little sprinkling of gold.
The other, higher-risk portfolio, which I call 'Whisky', currently has ten UK equities, two country funds and two sector funds a total of 14 holdings, with 15% in cash, waiting to pounce on the next opportunity. In 2016, we bought oil at $30, captured a surge in Taiwan, bought gold in February those are the sorts of trades I'm talking about.
These strategies are high conviction and the portfolios have high active shares with a value bias. (Editor's note: the "active share" of a fund reflects how different it is to its benchmark index).
John: What's your "skin in the game"? Do you invest in your own portfolio yourself?
Charlie: Most of the holdings are also held in the fund I manage for my City clients. I own all the equities in the Fleet Street portfolio, but not the funds, as I invest directly. I am also invested in my own fund. So yes, I have skin in the game. (And all my holdings are of course fully disclosed to Fleet Street Letter readers).
Charlie also left me with a final tip for spotting "closet trackers" actively-managed funds that are simply aiming to hug the index.
Because while Charlie might think that popular opinion has swung too far in the direction of indexing, he's not remotely blind to the huge flaws in the fund management industry that have led to that being the case. So the last thing you want to do is to pay a lot of money for active management and get passive instead.
"A fund is cheating if the top ten holding resemble the top holdings in the benchmark. If that's true, you may as well opt for passive as it is cheaper."
What to look for in an active manager
On top of that, he's also had an excellent 2016, and he has just put out his guide to navigating the murky, choppy waters of 2017, so now's a great time to get on board.
But I'd also point out that his answers are precisely the sorts of answers you should be looking for if you're thinking about investing with any other active fund manager.
A clear strategy and a considered thought process. High conviction once a manager is getting above 30-40 holdings (depending on the nature of the portfolio), you have to wonder how much value each individual new holding is adding. And a willingness to eat their own cooking.
Those three things are surprisingly rare in a fund manager. So as I said, you could do a lot worse than take a look at The Fleet Street Letter to find out how it's done.
