The return of gold as currency

Gold has fallen back from recent highs, but its long-term rise looks intact. And with faith in the dollar fading fast, gold is looking more and more like a global currency.

Gold has fallen back after reaching a four-month high around $980 an ounce. But the long-term uptrend looks intact, with the yellow metal likely to break its March record of $1,030 before too long. The jump in US consumer prices to a 17-year high last week and the eurozone's record price rises have intensified fears of inflation, highlighting gold's appeal as a store of value.

As Erste Bank notes, real US interest rates are negative, which is traditionally good news for gold: negative inflation-adjusted interest rates point to an inflationary environment and mean investors don't lose out on interest income by holding gold.

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