Is tobacco still a good idea for investors?

Is tobacco still a good idea for investors? - at Moneyweek.co.uk - the best of the week's international financial media.

For as long as it has been bad for your health, tobacco has been good for business. The big companies have been making steady profits and paying out rising dividends for years, but the good times are fast coming to an end. As governments crack down on smoking because of the high cost of medical care, and public smoking bans become more commonplace around the globe, how long can this continue to be the case? Are shareholders in tobacco companies about to have a rude awakening?

Michael Smith of JP Morgan thinks so. After four years' outperformance, relative to the overall market, he believes the global tobacco sector is about to enter a period of underperformance. New health warning labels on tobacco are damaging the value of brands - having a a notice on your product that effectively says "if you do this you might die" is hardly good for brand loyalty. The rate of increase in global excise tax and so-called sin taxes is accelerating. Public smoking bans are steadily gaining "political momentum".

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