What does the credit crunch mean for commodities?
The Onassis Management team explain how the recent upset in the credit markets has affected their commodities investment strategy - plus what to do should the FTSE fall further.
Our view of this sector is well known. Nothing has happened yet to stop China's urbanisation programme and their ever growing demand for raw materials. Their sensitivity to that situation is such that it makes sense for them to gain control wherever possible and the channelling of their surplus funds into natural resources is understandable. In the short-term, the disruption caused by the credit crunch might impact negatively upon commodity prices and resource stocks because stressed investors may be forced to sell whatever they can to finance client redemptions and margin calls. A margin call is when a provider of credit requires additional cover to maintain the line of credit already in place, a very destructive but inevitable part of the credit crunch process.
A few days ago we decided that our exposure to resource investments was tilted a little too far on the equity side of the equation. For that reason, we made a strategic decision to sell our holdings in BlackRock Merrill Lynch New Energy that comprised about 20% of most portfolios. This investment was priced at a high level and gave us the opportunity of banking good profits. At the same time, it has provided ammunition to use to the portfolio's benefit as investment conditions clarify. Our view about the long-term value of the new energy investment remains unchanged and in due course, we look forward to buying it back for less than we have sold it.
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