DoubleLine Capital's Jeffrey Gundlach, dubbed the "King of Bonds" by Barron's two years ago, seems to have impeccable timing.
Last July, he said US government bonds could be at a peak as yields were at historic lows. Yields have since drifted up to around 2% as prices have declined. In the meantime, Apple, a stock he had described as "over-believed and overbought", has fallen to around $450. He shorted it at $610 last year.
Moreover, earlier this month he said he reckoned that the rally in US stocks had gone too far. Equities are "obviously overbought in the short term". This week's Cyprus-induced wobbles duly followed.
MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Gundlach now thinks that bonds look good value compared to other, traditionally riskier assets. "I bought more long-term Treasuries in the last month than I've bought in four years. I am a fan of Treasuries now."
He is also a fan of the so-called "Abe Trade". Japan's government seems absolutely determined to debase the currency and is explicitly saying it wants to inflate, he notes. The yen "is going down" to 100 to the greenback, and could reach 200. And the next stop for the Nikkei is 13,000.
Get the latest financial news, insights and expert analysis from our award-winning MoneyWeek team, to help you understand what really matters when it comes to your finances.
MoneyWeek is written by a team of experienced and award-winning journalists, plus expert columnists. As well as daily digital news and features, MoneyWeek also publishes a weekly magazine, covering investing and personal finance. From share tips, pensions, gold to practical investment tips - we provide a round-up to help you make money and keep it.
-
How cancelling unused direct debits could boost your pension by £37,000A new year refresh of your spending could save you money and help boost your pension pot.
-
NS&I cuts interest rates on 8 savings accountsNS&I will now offer less attractive interest rates for customers wishing to lock their savings away to grow for one, two, three or five years.
