Dragons' Den is about entertainment as much as entrepreneurship. But investors in penny shares can learn a lot from the programme, reckons Tom Bulford – including these four stock-picking tips.
Hooray! A new series of Dragons' Den is under way. I love this programme. I love the courage of the aspiring entrepreneurs and the cool appraisal of the Dragons.
Of course, this is entertainment and is not an accurate representation of the business world. But it comes closer than many business reality shows. And both entrepreneurs and investors can learn some valuable lessons.
In today's Penny Sleuth, I'd like to show you some of the lessons we can learn from the Dragons' Den. And I'll reveal an interesting penny share minnow that has one of the Dragons on its board.
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According to government figures, the entrepreneurial spirit is flourishing. In garages, spare bedrooms and garden sheds all over the land about a thousand new businesses are being set up each day.
Last year, 395,327 new businesses were registered, a figure topped only once in the last 25 years. In a few years time, some of these entrepreneurs will, no doubt, be coming to the stock market, seeking the backing of new investors.
Other small-cap news
Shares in Cluff Gold (ticker: CLF) rise 7% as investors consider the value of its gold mining interests.
The shares are up 29% in the last week, but down 20% from their 12-month high of 104.5p. That spike in February happened when this AIM-listed minerreceived an unsolicited take-over approach.
An independent assessment says Cluff's Baomahun mine in Sierra Leone could produce 150,000 ounces of gold a year.
We need to be prepared. We need to know how we should assess these new investment opportunities. What questions must we ask?
Let us learn from the Dragons. These are the four rules that they follow.
1. Dismiss the loonies
OK, so it is a bit unfair to characterise them as loonies. But some of the people who walk up those stairs into the Den seem to have very little common sense.
I am not suggesting that you need a university education to be a success in business - far from it. But you do need to be able to present a coherent story and have a grasp of the basic numbers.
Every new business must have an idea of its target revenue, a simple multiplication of price versus quantity sold. And every business has costs of raw materials, labour, premises, and so on. At the very least, entrepreneurs should have a grasp of these numbers.
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2. Back the enthusiasts
However promising is the initial idea, the business still has to be properly managed and the product has to be sold. People respond to enthusiasm. Employees like working for bosses who are upbeat. Customers and suppliers need to trust the new business and respond positively.
Personality is critical. You don't need to be a hard-nosed, self-centred megalomaniac - as is the impression sometimes conveyed by The Apprentice. But you need to have the ability to get things done. And that requires energy and powers of persuasion.
3. Sell a product that is needed, not wanted
Many are the entrepreneurs who have entered the Dragons' Den and unveiled something that few people, if any, would ever want to own.
At the start of this series, a rather nervous looking inventor tried to persuade the Dragons that a No Entry' sign could be improved by a little flashing light indicating in which direction it was safe to travel.
In response to a question from one of the Dragons the inventor admitted that he had met the Head of the Highways Agency. This person had told him that she saw no need whatsoever for his innovation. Exit the entrepreneur and his hopes of financial backing.
A similar fate befell a young man who had invented a battery-powered rotating shaving brush. Has anybody ever yearned for such a thing?
By contrast, you may recall one entrepreneur who had the Dragons fighting to back her after she exhibited a clever magnetic device that enabled wires to be threaded through cavity walls. This ingenious little invention solved a common headache of any electrician.
The message is this. It is much easier to sell a product that people actually need than one that they have to be persuaded to want.
4. Don't overpay
The Dragons always drive a hard bargain. I doubt whether they ever pay more than three times the projected profits of a business. This means that if the business delivers, they will make a handsome return. But they also know that they need some big successes to cover those that will inevitably fail.
If, like me, you enjoy the Dragons' Den, you may sometimes wish that you could invest alongside the Dragons. Well now you have an opportunity.
Are you in or out?
This week Peter Jones has injected two of his companies into eXpansys (LON: XPS), the AIM-listed online retailer of mobile handsets. These are his web design and marketing services company, PJ Media, and the distributor of SIM cards, DSNS.
Peter Jones now has 43% of eXpansys and broker Cenkos has high hopes for the new group. It forecasts a £6m profit this year, rising to £14.2 two years from now.
Jones has been in the hot seat, presenting prospects to City investors. But have they been asking the right questions? This is certainly an interesting share to watch in the years ahead.
This article was first published in Tom Bulford's twice-weekly small-cap investment emailThe Penny Sleuth.
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Tom worked as a fund manager in the City of London and in Hong Kong for over 20 years. As a director with Schroder Investment Management International he was responsible for £2 billion of foreign clients' money, and launched what became Argentina's largest mutual fund.
Now working from his home in Oxfordshire, Tom Bulford helps private investors with his premium tipping newsletter, Red Hot Biotech Alert.
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