Profit as oil spikes, slumps, then takes off again

The current oil boom is not based on demand and can't last. Prices will, however, turn up in the long term. Eoin Gleeson explains, and describes how to play the oil price.

Last month, the Venezuelan army rolled into the port town of Maracaibo. Sent there by President Hugo Chavez under the auspices of a crackdown on local drug cartels, the soldiers quickly seized the port blaring the national anthem as they swarmed into the shipyards. But the president's real goal soon became apparent. Maracaibo, as it happens, is the biggest oil-exporting port in Venezuela.

Reeling from the 60% plunge in the price of crude, which has hit Venezuela's coffers hard, Chavez had come up with a plan to avoid having to pay the oil services firms operating in the region simply seize control of their assets. "We have started to nationalise all these activities connected to oil exploitation," explained Chavez from a confiscated boat sailing across Lake Maracaibo.

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Eoin came to MoneyWeek in 2006 having graduated with a MLitt in economics from Trinity College, Dublin. He taught economic history for two years at Trinity, while researching a thesis on how herd behaviour destroys financial markets.