Every December Saxo Bank publishes a list of ten outrageous predictions for the coming year. The idea is that the things on the list are unlikely and definitely not part of the consensus view, but that they are also possible. This year's list is below.
Your comments and your own predictions underneath are very welcome, but here's my thought: the ten might not be part of consensus thinking, but I can't see Moneyweek readers being particularly surprised if any of them happened.
1. EU wealth tax heralds return of Soviet-style economy
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2. Anti-EU alliance will become the largest group in parliament
3. Tech's fat five' wake up to a nasty hangover in 2014
4. Desperate Bank of Japan to delete government debt after USD/JPY goes below 80
5. US deflation: coming to a town near you
6. Quantitative easing goes all-in on mortgages
7. Brent crude drops to $80 a barrel as producers fail to respond
8. Germany in recession
9. CAC 40 drops 40% on French malaise
10. Fragile five' to fall 25% against the dollar
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Why central banks should stick to controlling inflationOpinion The world’s central bankers are stepping out of their traditional roles and becoming much more political. That’s a mistake, says Merryn Somerset Webb.
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