Gold will soon regain its shine

With the gold price down by 9.5% in the first quarter of 2021, it has been a rotten start to the year for gold.

It has been a rotten start to the year for gold, says Joe Wallace in The Wall Street Journal. The gold price fell by 9.5% in the first quarter. You could have done worse, but you would have needed to buy “Turkey’s lira” or “US government bonds”. Prices peaked at $2,069/oz last August, but have slid ever since. Gold was trading around $1,745/oz this week. A US recovery reduces gold’s appeal as a safe haven, while higher bond yields also lower demand as gold offers no income. 

Gold’s falls follow two years of excellent performance, says Emily Gosden in The Times. It rose by 18% in 2019 and 25% last year. This setback might not last. James Steel of HSBC notes that demand for physical gold dropped to an 11-year low in 2020 as the pandemic closed stores. This year should bring renewed demand for jewellery, with Indian and Chinese shoppers leading the way. Retail investors’ interest remains solid, reports Andrew Dickey of The Royal Mint. Covid-19 has delivered “greater awareness around investing in precious metals”, with gold fans adopting a buy-the-dip attitude to the latest setback. 

Hedge funds have cut their exposure to “a near two-year low”, says Ole Hansen of Saxo Bank. The case for gold depends on inflation, which could start to surprise on the upside later this year. That could force big institutional buyers back into the market. Hansen thinks the metal could yet reach $2,000/oz in 2021.

Recommended

The hidden cost of employee share schemes
Investment strategy

The hidden cost of employee share schemes

Paying employees in shares comes at a cost to investors – but it isn’t always easy to see how much, says Stephen Clapham.
26 Sep 2022
Sterling crashes to its lowest since 1985 after mini-Budget
Currencies

Sterling crashes to its lowest since 1985 after mini-Budget

The pound has fallen hard and is heading towards parity with the US dollar. Saloni Sardana explains why, and what it means for the UK, for markets and…
23 Sep 2022
Earn 3.7% from the best savings accounts
Savings

Earn 3.7% from the best savings accounts

With inflation topping 10%, your savings won't keep pace with the rising cost of living. But you can at least slow the rate at which your money is los…
23 Sep 2022
Three top-notch Asian stocks to buy
Share tips

Three top-notch Asian stocks to buy

Professional investors Adrian Lim and Pruksa Iamthongthong, managers of the Asia Dragon Trust, pick three of their favourite Asian stocks to buy now.
23 Sep 2022

Most Popular

Could gold be the basis for a new global currency?
Gold

Could gold be the basis for a new global currency?

Gold has always been the most reliable form of money. Now collaboration between China and Russia could lead to a new gold-backed means of exchange – g…
22 Sep 2022
Paypal, bitcoin, and the weaponisation of money
Bitcoin & crypto

Paypal, bitcoin, and the weaponisation of money

Recent events have shown how both business and governments can “weaponise” money and shut down dissent. What to do? Buy bitcoin, says Dominic Frisby.
22 Sep 2022
Why you should short this satellite broadband company
Trading

Why you should short this satellite broadband company

With an ill-considered business plan, satellite broadband company AST SpaceMobile is doomed to failure, says Matthew Partridge. Here's how to short th…
23 Sep 2022