US economy

A Gary Shilling: we're already in a recession – but the future is bright

Author and strategist A Gary Shilling says the US economy is declining. But a recession won’t last, and things are looking good in the longer term.

Don’t stop at forgiving student debt – forgive everyone’s debt

A jubilee for student debt is an attractive idea but not a fair one, says Merryn Somerset Webb. Better to give everyone a hefty lump sum – whether they have debts or not.

Forget the trade truce – here’s what really matters for markets now

Markets rallied after Donald Trump and Xi Jinping patched up their differences at the G20 summit. But trade talks are just a sideshow. What really matters is what happens to the US dollar.

Disappointing employment figures mask a much rosier picture

The May employment report in the US was mildly disappointing. But in America, as in the UK and Europe, the labour market is looking super strong, says Merryn Somerset Webb.

Investors beware: politicians are now in charge, not central banks

The US Federal Reserve has done what the market wanted for now. But investors should watch out, says John Stepek – President Donald Trump is turning up the heat.

It’s decision time for the US Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve will soon meet to decide on what to do with US interest rates. Markets are banking on a change of course, says John Stepek. But will the Fed oblige?

Good news for markets – the US employment data was terrible

US stocks rallied at the end of last week. And that was mostly down to one thing: disappointing employment data. John Stepek explains why the markets love a bit of bad news.

Trump turns his trade guns on Mexico

Locked in an impasse with China, the White House has now also initiated a major trade escalation with Mexico.

The casualties of Trump’s trade war

Chinese tech giant Huawei is under fire in Donald Trump’s trade war. Many Western firms may suffer collateral damage.

Sabre-rattling in the Middle East

Are America and Iran on the path to war? Matthew Partridge reports.

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