Investors in the diamond sector "have had a torrid time" in recent years, says Garry White in The Daily Telegraph. Prices crashed during the global financial crisis, then rebounded sharply, overshot, and corrected again in 2012. Now, however, the downturn appears to be bottoming out.
The Rapaport Diamond Trade Index is deemed the global benchmark and tracks the average asking price of the top 25, best-quality, one-carat diamonds. It lost 12.5% last year, but was flat in December and rose in late January.
And all the preconditions for recovery are in place. Nomura points to the "plodding return" of the key US market, while demand has continued to grow in Asia, thanks to the new middle classes' spending power. While the global recovery is underpinning demand, supply is tightening.
MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
In the mid-1990s there were many new discoveries and a large stockpile at De Beers, the world's largest diamond group. But now the stockpile "has been whittled down and there has been a real shortage of new diamond discoveries", says Jon H Bergtheil of Citigroup. So a "significant shortage" is likely in the second half of this decade.
All this means that tucking away a diamond share or two could be a shrewd move. Nomura says that US-listed Harry Winston (HWD) is "worth investigating", while White's preferred play is UK-listed Petra Diamonds (PDL).
Get the latest financial news, insights and expert analysis from our award-winning MoneyWeek team, to help you understand what really matters when it comes to your finances.
MoneyWeek is written by a team of experienced and award-winning journalists, plus expert columnists. As well as daily digital news and features, MoneyWeek also publishes a weekly magazine, covering investing and personal finance. From share tips, pensions, gold to practical investment tips - we provide a round-up to help you make money and keep it.
-
The UK areas which saw biggest jump in asking prices in 2025 – is yours on the list?We look at the UK areas where asking prices rose the most last year.
-
‘Sandwich generation’ carers losing £6,000 a year to support elderly relativesMiddle-aged adults are often caught between caring for children or grandchildren and their elderly parents, leaving them taking time out of the workforce and facing a huge hit to wages while they are still trying to save for retirement. We look at the true cost of caring.
