Dollar Heading for a Fall

Dollar Heading for a Fall - at www.moneyweek.com - the best of the international financial media

Nothing has happened to change our view that the dollar has now commenced its next big move down. In the short term, this will be helped by the expectation of at least a lull in Fed tightening. There is nothing like a change of sentiment with regards to interest rate differentials to send currencies meaningfully in one direction or another.

The sharp rise in oil prices should significantly increase the value of US imports. Because of that, their trade deficit will, we expect, go to record levels. If so, the negative impact on the dollar will be substantial.

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