Expensive oil is here to stay

Oil prices may have eased over the past few days, but the medium and long-term trend is most definitely up. So why exactly are we heading for 'even higher highs'?

US oil futures have come within spitting distance of triple figures and the all-time inflation-adjusted peak of $101.70. And while prices have eased over the past few days, the medium- and long-term trend is up. The picture is one of "extreme fundamental tightness", as Barclays Capital puts it.

Oil inventories have been falling, even though a rebound is typical in the third quarter. US stocks are just 5.8 million barrels above the five-year average, compared to 40 million in July, while European inventories are also sliding sharply.

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