Trump’s tax cuts look vague and timid

Donald Trump finally got round to tax reform, but the detail is lacking.

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Trump's tax reforms lack detail
(Image credit: 2017 Getty Images)

Last Thursday Donald Trump finally got round to tax reform. The main points in his plan are to double the standard deduction (tax-free allowance) to $12,000 for individuals and $24,000 for families, and to slash the number of personal tax brackets from seven to three.

The plans are far from detailed, however, says The Guardian's Sabrina Siddiqui. Trump has made much of helping the middle classes, but some proposals, like scrapping the estate tax, suggest that "the wealthiest sliver of Americans could still reap tremendous benefits from the proposed changes".

"It's hard to predict the economic impact of these skeletal proposals," agrees The New York Times. But they are likely to "raise the federal budget deficit by trillions of dollars". Of course, Republicans "will surely argue that the cuts would spur growth, and, in some measure, pay for themselves".

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However, this is "supply-side hooey", since in time the higher borrowing for unproductive tax cuts "could depress growth by driving up interest rates". While there are policies that could justify driving up the deficit repairing decrepit infrastructure, for instance "making the rich richer is not one of them".

Genuine tax reforms broaden the tax base, says the Financial Times, but "other than general talk" about scrapping deductions, there is scant evidence of that here, the paper notes. "It's also sad to see that most of the biggest loopholes mortgage interest, charitable contributions, the carried-interest exemption go untouched."

Dr Matthew Partridge

Matthew graduated from the University of Durham in 2004; he then gained an MSc, followed by a PhD at the London School of Economics.

He has previously written for a wide range of publications, including the Guardian and the Economist, and also helped to run a newsletter on terrorism. He has spent time at Lehman Brothers, Citigroup and the consultancy Lombard Street Research.

Matthew is the author of Superinvestors: Lessons from the greatest investors in history, published by Harriman House, which has been translated into several languages. His second book, Investing Explained: The Accessible Guide to Building an Investment Portfolio, is published by Kogan Page.

As senior writer, he writes the shares and politics & economics pages, as well as weekly Blowing It and Great Frauds in History columns He also writes a fortnightly reviews page and trading tips, as well as regular cover stories and multi-page investment focus features.

Follow Matthew on Twitter: @DrMatthewPartri