Eastern Europe gains strength
The economies of Eastern Europe are beginning to motor, with Poland doing especially well.
Economic activity in the eurozone has reached six-year highs, according to recent data, so it's no wonder that the emerging region most exposed to the single currency area, eastern Europe, is also beginning to motor.
The average reading of economic sentiment indicators compiled by the European Commission is close to a nine-year high, notes Capital Economics. That translates to regional growth of around 4% in the first quarter of 2017 quite a jump from 3% in the previous three months.
Poland has been doing especially well, with output likely to have expanded by 4.5% in the first quarter, . Longer term, there should be plenty more growth to come for the region as it continues to converge with western Europe. In Estonia and the Czech Republic GDP per capita is still around $33,000 and $30,000 respectively, compared to $42,000 in the UK.
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The good news, according to Chris Colunga of the BlackRock Emerging Europe trust, is that the rebound has yet to be priced in. Emerging Europe is on a p/e of below nine, compared with the emerging market average of 12.5, he says.
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After graduating he began to contribute to the foreign page of The Week and soon afterwards joined MoneyWeek at its inception in October 2000. He helped Merryn Somerset Webb establish it as Britain’s best-selling financial magazine, contributing to every section of the publication and specialising in macroeconomics and stockmarkets, before going part-time.
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Andrew has been editing MoneyWeek since 2018, and continues to specialise in investment and news in German-speaking countries owing to his fluent command of the language.
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