Chinese markets’ explosive New Year

published 8 January 2016

New Year's events "can be anti- climactic", says Lex in the Financial Times. But in China, markets "began 2016 with enough excitement to make traders choke on their bubbles". The blue-chip CSI 300 index fell 7% last Monday, the worst-ever start to the year for Chinese markets. It made a marginal recovery the next day, although the wider Shanghai Composite index and the Shenzhen Composite index fell further.

The Chinese authorities are showing that "there's no amount of stockmarket volatility that government interference can't make worse", says Alistair Osborne in The Times. After constantly meddling with the market during last summer's slump, it has introduced a circuit breaker: the exchange halts trading after a 5% move and closes completely after a 7% one. What a flop. "The whole caper's become self-fulfilling." Knowing that trading can be halted, investors now have an extra incentive to get out.

Worrying about a downturn

The fuss looks overblown, says Capital Economics. Outside of manufacturing,things look better. The official gauge of activity in the service sector has risen to a 16-month high. Indicators designed to measure how the economy is doing without relying on questionable official statistics are also looking up: electricity output in November was up year-on-year for the first time since August.

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Andrew is the editor of MoneyWeek magazine. He grew up in Vienna and studied at the University of St Andrews, where he gained a first-class MA in geography & international relations.

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Andrew has been editing MoneyWeek since 2018, and continues to specialise in investment and news in German-speaking countries owing to his fluent command of the language.