The price floor is a long way down

The price of oil has kept on falling, but there's still further to go.

The oil price, as measured using the Brent benchmark, continued to slide early this week, hitting a new six-year low of $45 a barrel. It has now plunged by 18% this year and 60% in just six months. Analysts virtually all of whom failed to predict the trend have been racing to cut their price forecasts as a result.

Investment bank Goldman Sachs cut its forecast for the average price in the second quarter of 2015 from $80 a barrel to $42. The latest slump was partly due to a statement from oil cartel Opec.

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Andrew Van Sickle
Editor, MoneyWeek

Andrew is the editor of MoneyWeek magazine. He grew up in Vienna and studied at the University of St Andrews, where he gained a first-class MA in geography & international relations.

After graduating he began to contribute to the foreign page of The Week and soon afterwards joined MoneyWeek at its inception in October 2000. He helped Merryn Somerset Webb establish it as Britain’s best-selling financial magazine, contributing to every section of the publication and specialising in macroeconomics and stockmarkets, before going part-time.

His freelance projects have included a 2009 relaunch of The Pharma Letter, where he covered corporate news and political developments in the German pharmaceuticals market for two years, and a multiyear stint as deputy editor of the Barclays account at Redwood, a marketing agency.

Andrew has been editing MoneyWeek since 2018, and continues to specialise in investment and news in German-speaking countries owing to his fluent command of the language.