British blue-chip stocks lag rivals

The FTSE 100 has been one of the worst performing of the world's biggest stockmarkets.

Britain "has been the wrong place to invest this year", says Bryce Elder in the Financial Times. Last week, the FTSE 100 was ranked 19th in a table of the world's 20 biggest stockmarkets' year-to-date performances.

It has declined marginally since early January. The British blue-chip stocksindex was also conspicuously slow to make up lost ground after October's wobble.

The index "is always going to struggle" when there is badnews for commodities, says Trustnet Direct's Tony Cross. Oil and mining companies make up 25% of the index, compared to an average of 6% in other developed markets.

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China has just reported its biggest decline in imports for eight months, implying lower demand for raw materials. A resilient pound, meanwhile, has undermined earnings expectations, as 77% of FTSE 100 sales are made overseas although that may change rapidly as the US dollar strengthens.

The political backdrop, moreover, has become unusually uncertain. As the May 2015 general election approaches, investors may become "increasingly exercised about the wide range ofoutcomes", says Fidelity's Tom Stevenson in The Sunday Telegraph.

A recent poll suggested that no two parties could form a majority under the likely tally of seats. A messy three-party coalition and another election shortly afterwards are both distinct possibilities.


Income investors also have reason to worry. The FTSE 100 offers an attractive-looking yield. But oil firms' payouts, worth 15% of total dividends, could be under threat at a time when underlying dividend growth for the index as a whole is at a four-year low.

On the plus side, sterling has weakened recently, which looks set to continue as British and US monetary policy diverges. Meanwhile easy money is still pushing stocks higher, and any European quantitative easing would no doubt be felt here too.

But it wouldn't be much of a surprise if the index as a whole continues to lag next year. We look at some of the best individual stocks in this week's cover story.

Andrew Van Sickle

Andrew is the editor of MoneyWeek magazine. He grew up in Vienna and studied at the University of St Andrews, where he gained a first-class MA in geography & international relations.

After graduating he began to contribute to the foreign page of The Week and soon afterwards joined MoneyWeek at its inception in October 2000. He helped Merryn Somerset Webb establish it as Britain’s best-selling financial magazine, contributing to every section of the publication and specialising in macroeconomics and stockmarkets, before going part-time.

His freelance projects have included a 2009 relaunch of The Pharma Letter, where he covered corporate news and political developments in the German pharmaceuticals market for two years, and a multiyear stint as deputy editor of the Barclays account at Redwood, a marketing agency.

Andrew has been editing MoneyWeek since 2018, and continues to specialise in investment and news in German-speaking countries owing to his fluent command of the language.