Is Europe heading the same way as the US?

It may have proved relatively resilient so far, but it is still too soon to assume a limited knock-on effect from US weakness - as the latest figures from Germany show.

Growth may be plunging in the US, but in Europe the slowdown has been gradual. Having grown by 2.7% last year, the eurozone is on track to expand by about 1.8% this year, according to a European Commission estimate, amid softer global growth, the strong euro and bursting housing bubbles in the Club Med economies and Ireland.

And this week the Ifo German business confidence index ticked up to just below last spring's highs, while the zone's purchasing managers' index posted a surprise rise in February. But as in the UK and US, inflation is limiting the European Central Bank's room for manoeuvre, with eurozone inflation at a 14-year high of 3.2% and unlikely to come down as fast as expected, warned ECB vice-president Lucas Papademos this week.

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