Dovish King takes it softly on inflation

Mervyn King blamed global commodity prices for much of the rise in inflation, but expects it to fall as the economy slows. The danger with that is that only a long, deep slowdown can do the trick.

In 1965, Iain Macleod coined the term 'stagflation' to describe the combination of slow growth and high inflation, noted Chris Giles in the FT. Today it is back in the news, with growth weakening and inflation hitting the same level that prompted him to devise the expression. Consumer price inflation (CPI) hit an annual 3.3% in May, the highest since the index's inception 11 years ago.

The rise in CPI to more than 1% above target meant Bank of England governor Mervyn King had to write his second letter of explanation to the Chancellor since the current target was instated in 1997. There will be more soon. A letter must be written every quarter if inflation remains above target and it is likely to climb above 4% this year, says King.

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