Cover of MoneyWeek issue no 599

Firing up the future

27 July 2012 / Issue 599

The best energy stocks to invest in

PLUS:

  • What Sir John Templeton would buy now
  • Sack George Osborne - give Nick Clegg the job
  • The downfall of Ireland's richest man

Excerpt

Hang on to defensive stocks 

Is there a bubble in dividend-paying defensive stocks? We’ve asked the question here before – we’ve been recommending them for four years or so, so we need to monitor how they’re doing. An article in The Wall Street Journal this week outlined just how popular they are.

Since mid-April, telecoms, utilities, healthcare and consumer staples are the only S&P sectors to have risen. Telecoms are up 14%; utilities 7.5%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has fallen 1.2%. “Defensive stocks are trading near a decade-high relative to their more economically sensitive peers” if you look at their price/earnings ratios, says Adam Parker of Morgan Stanley.

Investors are paying around 25% more for stocks that pay dividends than for stocks that don’t. Add that to the fact that US investors have poured a net $16bn into equity income funds since the start of the year (with inflows still rising), and it’s beginning to look like a crowded trade.

• Read the full editor’s letter here: Hang on to defensive stocks.