Investors eye up a new round of Chinese stimulus

Chinese policymakers have announced new stimulus measures to contain the fallout from the coronavirus. Asset managers are already positioning themselves.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) pumped ¥1.2trn (£130bn) of extra liquidity into money markets on Monday. Banks have been told not to call in loans made to companies in Hubei, the province at the centre of the outbreak. Annualised first-quarter growth could sink as low as 4.5%; in 2019 GDP rose by 6.1%. 

The new stimulus is limited for now. It is aimed at keeping the financial system running and offering targeted help to affected sectors and regions, say Chang Shu and David Qu of Bloomberg Economics. But once the virus is contained authorities are likely to shift towards a more general push to revive growth.

Subscribe to MoneyWeek

Become a smarter, better informed investor with MoneyWeek.

What would a new stimulus look like? Analysts are banking on “looser monetary policies to stimulate demand, more subsidies to bolster struggling firms, and a weaker renminbi to goose exports”, write Keith Johnson and James Palmer for Foreign Policy. The latter measure would enrage Donald Trump, who has accused Beijing of currency manipulation. Add in the fact that disruption due to the coronavirus will encourage US firms to redesign their Asian supply chains and the outbreak will “only accelerate” the ongoing “decoupling” of the US and Chinese economies.

Asset managers are already positioning themselves for a new round of stimulus, says Michael Mackenzie in the Financial Times. As well as boosting emerging market equities, any Chinese easing could “move the needle for the global economy”. But “wait and see what kind of stimulus arrives from China” before piling in. It remains to be seen whether all this talk of “buying the dip” is just short-term trading chatter, or whether it marks the start of a brighter period for cyclical stocks. 

Advertisement

Recommended

Visit/economy/asian-economy/chinas-economy/600819/has-hong-kong-become-a-failed-state
China's economy

Has Hong Kong become a failed state?

Hong Kong cannot protect its citizens, provide basic services or command the trust of its people, and it is failing to provide the safety and stabilit…
14 Feb 2020
Visit/economy/asian-economy/chinas-economy/600793/coronavirus-china-economic-balance
China's economy

The coronavirus makes China’s economic balancing act even harder

2020 should be the year when China straightens out its heavily indebted economy. But the coronavirus could throw a spanner in that plan, says John Ste…
6 Feb 2020
Visit/investments/stockmarkets/600755/is-coronavirus-panic-reaching-a-peak-yet
Stockmarkets

Is coronavirus panic reaching a peak yet?

As the coronavirus scare continues, John Stepek asks if the markets’ panic has been too extreme, and looks at the possibilities for investors.
3 Feb 2020
Visit/investments/stockmarkets/600687/us-china-trade-truce-boosts-stockmarkets-for-now
Stockmarkets

US-China trade truce boosts stockmarkets – for now

Markets brightened up after China agreed to import more from the US and America greed to lower some tariffs on Chinese goods. But the trade war is far…
27 Jan 2020

Most Popular

Visit/economy/uk-economy/600837/rishi-sunak-new-chancellor-spending-splurge
UK Economy

Britain has a new chancellor – get ready for a major spending splurge

The departure of Sajid Javid as chancellor and the appointment of Rishi Sunak marks a change in the style of our politics. John Stepek explains what's…
14 Feb 2020
Visit/economy/600814/money-minute-friday-14-february-the-latest-from-rbs-britains-state-owned-bank
Economy

Money Minute Friday 14 February: The latest from RBS, Britain's state-owned bank

Today's Money Minute previews results from RBS – Britain’s state-owned bank – and from pharma giant AstraZeneca.
14 Feb 2020
Visit/investments/property/600826/living-on-a-houseboat-the-pros-and-cons-of-a-floating-home
Property

Living on a houseboat: the pros and cons of a floating home

Living on a houseboat sounds romantic and peaceful. But it’s not as straightforward as it looks, says Nicole Garcia Merida
14 Feb 2020
Visit/517625/tr-european-growth-trust-why-investors-shouldnt-overlook-europe
Sponsored

Why investors shouldn’t overlook Europe

SPONSORED CONTENT - Ollie Beckett, manager of the TR European Growth Trust, tackles investor questions around Europe’s economic outlook and the conseq…
6 Nov 2019