Six events that will take the markets by surprise in 2014

"People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night." That’s how Daryl F Zanuck, the Hollywood mogul behind Gone With The Wind, dismissed television and its potential impact on the cinema industry.

Blunders like that are enough to put anyone off trying to forecast what might happen over the next 12 months. Yet making predictions is a useful way to prepare yourself for unlikely but possible events that could really rattle markets if they actually happened.

People expect to see plenty of things in 2014. House prices will keep rising. The trade deficit [...]

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